Thursday, December 6, 2012

Starting out

A few years ago I would publish weekend snow forecasts for Vail mountain to my friends in the Denver area via email. I got a pretty decent reputation for being accurate. Starting that up again, it is now in blog format.

Some information about my predictions... This is my untrained estimation by reading as much as I can find each week published by the weather communities at wunderground.com, noaa.gov, weather.com, etc...

Disclaimer:
I have no meteorological background other than interest. These are not the "official" snow totals that are published by the weather community, but rather what is reported by Vail from their weather station at Mid-Vail (about 10500' and wind sheltered). Vail is partial as they need to attract tourists. Note that there is no better way to record because the "official" weather stations are lower in the valley. The best "station" I know of is this one, but it seems to have frequent outages. I simply rely on the published daily reports from the mountain. Your depth may vary.

Rules:
- rough 12 hour window of snow starting
- rough 12 hour window of snow stopping
- 6 inch range of snowfall as reported by Vail on Friday, Saturday, and Sunday and Monday mornings.

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